Antalya is recording a significant decline in tourist traffic during the first four months of 2026, with arrival figures showing a decrease of around 10% compared to the same period in 2025, confirming the pressures faced by Turkey’s leading destination from the international environment.
Specifically, arrivals stood at 1,823,046 visitors, compared to 2,019,110 in 2025, representing a loss of nearly 200,000 tourists.
Significant losses from key markets
The picture is mainly affected by declines in major European source markets:
- Germany: 477,382 arrivals (-10%)
- Russia: 279,955 (-7%)
- United Kingdom: 245,112 (-12%)
These three markets form the backbone of Antalya’s tourism, and their simultaneous decline largely explains the overall downturn.
Mixed picture in Europe
In other European markets, trends vary:
Upward trends:
- Netherlands (+2%)
- Belgium (+1%)
- Romania (+5%)
- Hungary (+14%)
Downward trends:
- Sweden (-21%)
- Norway (-23%)
- Austria (-15%)
- Czech Republic (-13%)
Northern Europe shows the steepest decline, which is particularly significant due to the high spending levels of these markets.
Distribution of arrivals by nationality (January–April)
| Nationality | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Difference 2026/2025 | Percentage change % | Share % 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 30.479 | 328.967 | 441.422 | 539.216 | 528.203 | 477.382 | -50.821 | -10% | 26,19 |
| Russia | 287.557 | 138.157 | 389.714 | 351.544 | 301.895 | 279.955 | -21.940 | -7% | 15,36 |
| UK | 408 | 150.699 | 200.548 | 265.845 | 279.952 | 245.112 | -34.840 | -12% | 13,45 |
| Netherlands | 1.839 | 71.261 | 86.327 | 86.594 | 99.380 | 101.778 | +2.398 | +2% | 5,58 |
| Poland | 8.489 | 43.579 | 78.573 | 102.056 | 111.104 | 87.363 | -23.741 | -21% | 4,79 |
| Ukraine | 30.329 | 14.690 | 20.145 | 30.543 | 30.183 | 31.355 | +1.172 | +4% | 1,72 |
| Belgium | 798 | 21.756 | 22.551 | 31.860 | 29.783 | 30.206 | +423 | +1% | 1,66 |
| Lithuania | 3.763 | 22.153 | 31.785 | 27.704 | 35.789 | 26.932 | -8.857 | -25% | 1,48 |
| Kazakhstan | 12.886 | 22.237 | 21.526 | 24.818 | 24.260 | 23.084 | -1.176 | -5% | 1,27 |
| Switzerland | 3.205 | 17.194 | 20.303 | 23.932 | 25.287 | 22.298 | -2.989 | -12% | 1,22 |
| France | 784 | 13.450 | 19.863 | 30.051 | 26.911 | 21.363 | -5.548 | -21% | 1,17 |
| Denmark | 291 | 20.581 | 19.252 | 22.929 | 19.928 | 20.270 | +342 | +2% | 1,11 |
| Romania | 1.143 | 8.092 | 9.828 | 13.232 | 15.483 | 16.313 | +830 | +5% | 0,89 |
| Austria | 1.112 | 9.459 | 13.406 | 16.545 | 18.488 | 15.807 | -2.681 | -15% | 0,87 |
| Sweden | 1.584 | 16.535 | 12.977 | 15.756 | 16.898 | 13.273 | -3.625 | -21% | 0,73 |
| Norway | 52 | 10.106 | 9.795 | 10.342 | 11.395 | 8.803 | -2.592 | -23% | 0,48 |
| Czech Republic | 591 | 2.885 | 5.768 | 8.003 | 8.585 | 7.453 | -1.132 | -13% | 0,41 |
| Hungary | 147 | 2.742 | 4.005 | 6.226 | 6.056 | 6.881 | +825 | +14% | 0,38 |
| Serbia | 5 | 2.065 | 4.077 | 4.516 | 5.861 | 6.811 | +950 | +16% | 0,37 |
| Finland | 55 | 9.078 | 4.363 | 5.616 | 6.173 | 6.208 | +35 | +1% | 0,34 |
| Belarus | 2.367 | 3.433 | 6.606 | 6.596 | 7.655 | 5.531 | -2.124 | -28% | 0,30 |
| Uzbekistan | 2.220 | 3.345 | 3.800 | 4.876 | 4.602 | 4.946 | +344 | +7% | 0,27 |
| Slovakia | 249 | 2.403 | 3.294 | 4.702 | 4.820 | 4.458 | -362 | -8% | 0,24 |
| Moldova | 510 | 1.232 | 2.326 | 4.521 | 4.940 | 4.400 | -540 | -11% | 0,24 |
| Italy | 251 | 2.742 | 3.925 | 5.602 | 5.146 | 4.274 | -872 | -17% | 0,23 |
| Iran | 4.739 | 35.737 | 20.278 | 31.002 | 18.805 | 2.676 | -16.129 | -86% | 0,15 |
| Jordan | 2.709 | 10.317 | 10.211 | 6.242 | 6.491 | 2.599 | -3.892 | -60% | 0,14 |
| Slovenia | 201 | 2.097 | 2.443 | 2.499 | 2.345 | 2.097 | -248 | -11% | 0,12 |
| Irak | 201 | 3.936 | 3.366 | 3.402 | 3.981 | 1.337 | -2.644 | -66% | 0,07 |
| Croatia | 118 | 1.833 | 1.800 | 1.806 | 1.715 | 1.329 | -386 | -23% | 0,07 |
| Israel | 146 | 31.252 | 40.865 | 1.249 | 1.470 | 872 | -598 | -41% | 0,05 |
| South Korea | 17 | 480 | 798 | 942 | 869 | 657 | -212 | -24% | 0,04 |
| Others | 13.365 | 65.470 | 86.218 | 111.858 | 113.181 | 102.631 | -10.550 | -9% | 5,63 |
| Turkey (domestic / neighboring) | 21.310 | 105.495 | 177.162 | 220.446 | 241.476 | 236.592 | -4.884 | -2% | 12,98 |
| Total | 433.920 | 1.195.458 | 1.779.320 | 2.023.071 | 2.019.110 | 1.823.046 | -196.064 | -10% | 100 |
Collapse from the Middle East
The situation is particularly concerning in markets across the Middle East:
- Iran: -86%
- Iraq: -66%
- Jordan: -60%
- Israel: -41%
Geopolitical instability is directly affecting Antalya, which traditionally attracts a significant volume of visitors from these markets.
Points of resilience
Despite the overall decline, there are also signs of resilience:
- growth from Eastern Europe (Hungary, Romania)
- stabilisation in certain smaller markets
- sustained high shares from key countries
Message for the season
Antalya’s performance in the first four months serves as an early indicator for the summer season.
The key takeaway:
- demand exists, but it is sensitive and volatile
- geopolitical developments are directly affecting booking flows
- major source markets have not yet fully recovered
What it means for competition
Antalya’s decline is not just a local phenomenon. It is an indication that the wider Mediterranean region is being affected, with demand shifting and both opportunities and risks emerging for competing destinations, such as Greece.
[…] [1] Antalya 10 Decline In Arrivals In The First Four Months Of 2026 Pressure From Germany The United Kingdom And The Middle East – https://money-tourism.gr/en/antalya-10-decline-in-arrivals-in-the-first-four-months-of-2026-pressure… […]